Terovitis, S. (2022). Information disclosure and the feedback effect in capital markets Journal of Financial Intermediation, 49.
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Affiliated author
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Publication year2022
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JournalJournal of Financial Intermediation
Are more informative credit ratings always preferred and how should regulators intervene to promote investment efficiency? To answer these questions, we develop a model in which a manager seeks financing for a project. The main frictions are that the manager is privately informed about the project{\textquoteright}s quality and cannot commit not to divert resources away from it. This setting gives rise to a feedback effect in which creditors{\textquoteright} beliefs about whether the manager diverts resources can become self-fulfilling. A critical consequence of this feedback effect is that more precise ratings can be detrimental for investment efficiency. Intuitively, by revealing that a firm is of worse quality and increasing its cost of finance, more informative ratings strengthen the manager{\textquoteright}s incentive to withdraw resources away from the project and default. We show that the regulation of credit rating agencies should be lenient during good times and strict during bad times.