Beetsma, R. and Vermeylen, K. (2007). The effect of monetary unification on public debt and its real return Public Choice, 133(3-4):393--415.
-
Affiliated author
-
Publication year2007
-
JournalPublic Choice
We explore the implications of monetary unification for real interest rates and (relative) public debt levels. The adoption of a common monetary policy renders the risk-return characteristics of the participating countries{\textquoteright} public debt more similar. The implied reduction in the scope for risk diversification raises the average expected real return on the debt. Also, the share of the union-wide debt issued by relatively myopic governments or of countries that initially have a relatively dependent central bank increases after unification. This may put the political sustainability of the union under pressure. A transfer scheme that penalizes debt increases beyond the union average is able to undo the interest rate effect of unification, but magnifies the spread in relative debt levels.