König, MichaelD. and Rogers, T. (2023). Endogenous technology cycles in dynamic R&D networks European Economic Review, 158:1--26.
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Affiliated author
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Publication year2023
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JournalEuropean Economic Review
We study the coevolutionary dynamics of knowledge creation and diffusion with the formation of R\&D collaboration networks. The novel examination of a large R\&D collaboration network over several decades reveals a pronounced oscillatory (cyclical) pattern in the R\&D collaboration intensity, which is not captured by existing theoretical studies. Here, we propose a new model of R\&D network formation in which firms form R\&D collaborations with others possessing a complementary portfolio of technologies. Innovations and knowledge spillovers alter the composition of these portfolios over time, leading to changes in the network of R\&D collaborations. We show that our model is not only able to explain the emergence of oscillatory dynamics in R\&D networks, but also has important policy implications. First, we demonstrate that there exists a critical threshold level for spillovers between R\&D collaborating firms that must be exceeded for R\&D collaborations to effectively contribute to knowledge creation in the economy. The threshold indicates that policies promoting collaborative R\&D can only be successful in fostering innovations if they are substantial enough so that spillovers are above the threshold. Second, policies strengthening competition in R\&D networks are found to promote oscillatory fluctuations, potentially destabilizing the network.