• Graduate Program
    • Why study Business Data Science?
    • Research Master
    • Admissions
    • Course Registration
    • Facilities
    • PhD Vacancies
  • Summer School
  • Research
  • News
  • Events
    • Events Calendar
    • Events archive
    • Tinbergen Institute Lectures
    • Summer School
      • Deep Learning
      • Economics of Blockchain and Digital Currencies
      • Foundations of Machine Learning with Applications in Python
      • Machine Learning for Business
      • Marketing Research with Purpose
      • Sustainable Finance
      • Tuition Fees and Payment
      • Tinbergen Institute Summer School Program
    • Annual Tinbergen Institute Conference archive
  • Alumni
  • Magazine

Cohn, A., Engelmann, J., Fehr, E. and Maréchal, M. (2015). Evidence for Countercyclical Risk Aversion: An Experiment with Financial Professionals American Economic Review, 105(2):860--885.


  • Journal
    American Economic Review

Countercyclical risk aversion can explain major puzzles such as the high volatility of asset prices. Evidence for its existence is, however, scarce because of the host of factors that simultaneously change during financial cycles. We circumvent these problems by priming financial professionals with either a boom or a bust scenario. Subjects primed with a financial bust were substantially more fearful and risk averse than those primed with a boom, suggesting that fear may play an important role in countercyclical risk aversion. The mechanism described here is relevant for theory and may explain self-reinforcing processes that amplify market dynamics.